Tuesday, August 27, 2013

A Western Military Intervention in Syria = Support for the Muslim Brotherhood & its Various Offshoots

Syria & Use of Chemical Weapons: 

The ongoing debate in the West (whether chemical weapons were used & who used them?) to determine some sort of intervention/response from the West (US & UK govts primarily gunning for action against the Assad regime) is dangerously short sighted on so many levels, and reflects a lack of nuance and long term strategic thinking on the outcome (thanks to some sort of initial limited military response) which will, in all likelihood, lead to the deaths of more Syrian civilians caught between the devil and the deep blue sea. And, destabilize the Levant and beyond.

If the Assad regime collapses, the blood bath of Christians, Kurds, Alawites and secular Sunnis will be extensive. Not to mention the likely spillover effect for Israel, Jordan and Lebanon. States that can't afford such a state of affairs next door. In short, removal of Assad's regime (however brutal and corrupt) will only ensure either the end of the Syrian state and/or a civil war reminiscent of Lebanon's (1975-1990).

Does the Assad regime have a precedent (on using chemical weapons)? Yes, Hafiz Assad, the father, did indeed resort to use of chemical weapons in the tunnels of Hama in '82. The details of what happened in Hama (the Syrian MB headquarters) during those two weeks are far more gruesome than reported by Amnesty International. Around 45,000 were killed and Hama's downtown was left in rubble. At that time the Syrian MB, emboldened by Sadat's successful assassination by their Egyptian Brothers in Cairo in '81, were resorting to vicious tactics across Syria and even Damascus was under siege. The MB's brutal assaults (civilians, military family quarters etc etc) on civil society necessitated stringent/violent counter measures, although one can never condone the use of chemical weapons for any reason. No foreign leaders outside Syria batted an eye and some called it "an internal affair." 

The reality is that the Hama offensive basically eliminated the  MB menace from Syria for almost three decades...until they reemerged thanks to the "Arab Spring."

By launching missiles upon Syrian targets we would, in effect, be announcing to the Syrian people and beyond, that we (US/UK et al) stand by the MB and their political/religious ethos (just read Banna, Qutb to comprehend the depths of their contempt and hate for Western Civilization) and for what they designate as "jahilliyah" near enemy.


In short, our foreign policy vis-a-vis Egypt and Syria announces to Jordan, Morocco, UAE, Kuwait, Algeria, Yemen, Oman and Saudi Arabia that we support those very virulent elements who seek the demise of their own governments/regimes. 

Saudi Arabia is a dangerous wild card. Trying to play all sides for keeps. Putin, to his credit, didn't sell out. After all, as much as the Saudis claim to despise the Ikhwan al Muslimin, aka Muslim Brothers/MB, they are terrified of them; thus, for decades, they have been financially supporting (especially in the West) MB fronts and organizations to do their dirty work. Why? Because their respective core ideologies are not really indistinguishable and they hoped to keep MB mischief makers from instigating an internal effort to overthrow the House of Saud whom the MB despises as "jahiliyyah." 

Saudi Arabia's balancing act, however, is like a house of cards in the long run. They are only buying time in a rather short sighted manner rather than undertaking a serious --internal--examination of their own domestic situation and their destructive foreign policy approaches which tend to blowback on them.

When Saddam Hussein used mustard and sarin gas against Iranian forces and his own Kurdish populace in Halabja in the 1980s (which BTW killed tens of thousands, not 100s) the West didn't bat an eye. In fact, US support for Saddam bordered on the irrational vis-a-vis US national security interests even after the USS Stark attack in '87. This US approach led to Saddam's Rumaila Oilfield grab, starting with the slant drilling which, rightly, upset and alarmed the Kuwaitis. Bashar Assad, however, doesn't pose such a threat despite his meddling in Lebanon. 

The US has been sucked into the affairs of the Middle East/Muslim world and this has only profited a few special interests at the expense of the American people. Now that our economy is in dire straits, such global misadventures should be curtailed not expanded. 

Monday, August 26, 2013

WASHINGTON: LISTEN TO A SYRIAN KURD LEADER AND STAY OUT OF YET ANOTHER DISASTER

Note: Washington has been taken over by Aliens. Certainly no sane adults around these days. Foreign policy? Doctrine? Take 'em out (which thus begs the question: WHO EXACTLY IS THE ENEMY?) I'd trust the Kurds (Sunni btw) over some of the paid clowns on tv...I think Saleh Muslim hits the nail on the head below (why now? what does Assad have to gain by crossing a widely vocalized "red line" when he is winning?) ...


Syrian Kurdish leader says Assad not to blame for attack


By
 Alexandra Hudson2:10pm EDT

BERLIN (Reuters) - Syrian President Bashar al-Assad would not be "so stupid" as to use chemical weapons close to Damascus, the leader of the country's largest Kurdish group said.
Saleh Muslim, head of the Kurdish Democratic Union Party (PYD), said he doubted the Syrian president would resort to using such weapons when he felt he had the upper hand in the country's civil war.
He suggested last Wednesday's attack...was aimed at framing Assad and provoking an international reeaction. Assad has denied his forces used chemical weapons.

"The regime in Syria ... has chemical weapons, but they wouldn't use them around Damascus, 5 km from the (U.N.) committee which is investigating chemical weapons. Of course they are not so stupid as to do so," Muslim told Reuters.


Muslim suggested "some other sides who want to blame the Syrian regime, who want to show them as guilty and then see action" lay behind the chemical attack, which has led to speculation that Western countries will order a military response.

He said that if the U.N. inspectors found evidence Assad was not behind the gassing and the rebels were, "everybody would forget it".

"Who is the side who would be punished? Are they are going to punish the Emir of Qatar or the King of Saudi Arabia, or Mr. Erdogan of Turkey?" Qatar, Turkey and Saudi Arabia have all strongly condemned Assad and backed the rebels.